Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Taawon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Taawon 0-0 Al-Fateh
Original prediction
Al Taawon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.7% | 42.3% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.9% | 27.7% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 24.3% | 30.0% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Al Taawon
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Al Taawon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al TaawonLDLDD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-FatehDDLLL
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al TaawonAl-Fateh
25.0Attack8.3
58.3Defence58.3
16.7Form16.7
36.5Power30.9
1.24xG1.03