GGOALVIO

Kuwait · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 3:40:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Sulaibikhat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Sulaibikhat 1-1 Al Shabab

Original prediction

Al Sulaibikhat

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9031.1%36.5%5.4 pts
Draw3.0229.9%28.9%-1.0 pts
Away2.3238.9%34.6%-4.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Al Sulaibikhat

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Al Sulaibikhat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al SulaibikhatLWDDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al ShababWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Al SulaibikhatAl Shabab
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24
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