GGOALVIO

Kuwait · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 5:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Sulaibikhat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Sulaibikhat 1-1 Al Jahra

Original prediction

Al Sulaibikhat

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2340.1%39.7%-0.4 pts
Draw3.1928.0%27.0%-1.0 pts
Away2.7931.9%33.4%1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Al Sulaibikhat

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Al Sulaibikhat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al SulaibikhatDDLWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al JahraLWLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Al SulaibikhatAl Jahra
44.4Attack44.4
44.4Defence44.4
22.2Form33.3
40.2Power43.7
1.58xG1.39
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