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Al Shorta logoAl ShortavsErbil logoErbil

COMPLETED

Iraq · Iraqi League · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Shorta · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Shorta 0-0 Erbil

Original prediction

Al Shorta

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–015%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.1–110%

Predicted outcome

Al Shorta

Probability

71.5%

Model confidence

71.5%

Al Shorta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al ShortaWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ErbilWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al ShortaErbil
66.7Attack40.4
68.4Defence56.1
76.3Form36.0
71.8Power45.6
2.04xG0.64
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