Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Shorta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shorta 1-0 Al Seeb
Original prediction
Al Shorta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.3% | 44.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.2% | 27.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.5% | 27.8% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Al Shorta
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Al Shorta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al ShortaDWDWW
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al SeebDWWWD
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al ShortaAl Seeb
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
50.0Power23.7
1.91xG1.27