GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Two · 10/27/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Shorta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Shorta 1-1 Al Hussein

Original prediction

Al Shorta

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9247.5%37.1%-10.3 pts
Draw3.3027.6%27.8%0.2 pts
Away3.6524.9%35.1%10.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Al Shorta

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Al Shorta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al ShortaWDDWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Al HusseinWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al ShortaAl Hussein
50.0Attack83.3
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
50.0Power71.2
1.42xG1.63
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