Al Shamalvs
Muaither SC
COMPLETEDQatar · QSL Cup · 10/1/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Shamal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shamal 2-1 Muaither SC
Original prediction
Al Shamal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.4% | 45.4% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 20.9% | 25.9% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 4.85 | 18.7% | 28.8% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Al Shamal
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Al Shamal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00