Al Shamalvs
Al Shahaniya
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 9/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Shamal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shamal 4-2 Al Shahaniya
Original prediction
Al Shamal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.5% | 47.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.9% | 24.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.6% | 28.1% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Al Shamal
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Al Shamal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00