Al Shamalvs
Al-Rayyan SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Qatar Cup · 9/1/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Shamal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shamal 3-3 Al-Rayyan SC
Original prediction
Al Shamal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.8% | 36.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 27.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.8% | 35.8% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Shamal
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Al Shamal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20