Al Shamalvs
Al-Ittihad FC
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shamal 1-1 Al-Ittihad FC
Original prediction
Al-Ittihad FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.60 | 20.1% | 30.0% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.9% | 26.5% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 57.0% | 43.5% | -13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ittihad FC
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00