Al Shamalvs
Al-Duhail SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/8/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Shamal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shamal 0-4 Al-Duhail SC
Original prediction
Al Shamal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.7% | 39.5% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 26.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 43.1% | 33.6% | -9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Al Shamal
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Al Shamal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80