Al Shamal IIvs
Al-Markhiya
COMPLETEDQatar · Second Division · 10/14/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Markhiya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shamal II 1-3 Al-Markhiya
Original prediction
Al-Markhiya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.20 | 17.2% | 22.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 60.1% | 53.0% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Al-Markhiya
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Al-Markhiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.67
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40