Al Shahaniyavs
Al-Sailiya
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 8/29/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Shahaniya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shahaniya 3-2 Al-Sailiya
Original prediction
Al Shahaniya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.6% | 41.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 26.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.3% | 32.2% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Al Shahaniya
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Al Shahaniya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40