Al Shahaniyavs
Al Sadd
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/22/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Sadd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shahaniya 0-4 Al Sadd
Original prediction
Al Sadd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.59 | 12.0% | 21.4% | 9.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.78 | 15.7% | 18.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 72.3% | 60.3% | -12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Al Sadd
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
60.3%
Al Sadd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al ShahaniyaLWLWD
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al SaddLLLLW
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al ShahaniyaAl Sadd
44.4Attack100.0
16.7Defence27.8
38.9Form66.7
36.0Power64.7
1.88xG3.19