Al Shahaniyavs
Al-Duhail SC
COMPLETEDQatar · QSL Cup · 9/28/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Duhail SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shahaniya 1-3 Al-Duhail SC
Original prediction
Al-Duhail SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.1% | 35.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 27.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.1% | 36.6% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Al-Duhail SC
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Al-Duhail SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60