Al Shahaniyavs
Al-Arabi SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/16/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Arabi SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shahaniya 0-6 Al-Arabi SC
Original prediction
Al-Arabi SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.62 | 25.1% | 31.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.9% | 26.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 50.9% | 42.3% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al-Arabi SC
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Al-Arabi SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00