Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kazma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shabab 2-3 Kazma
Original prediction
Kazma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.98 | 17.8% | 19.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.2% | 23.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 57.0% | 56.7% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Kazma
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Kazma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al ShababDWWLL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KazmaDWWDW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al ShababKazma
25.0Attack52.8
30.6Defence45.8
27.8Form48.6
30.0Power49.6
0.90xG2.13