Al Shababvs
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Original prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.54 | 10.8% | 19.8% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.79 | 15.9% | 21.7% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 73.4% | 58.5% | -14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20