Al Shababvs
Al-Faisaly FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Shabab · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Shabab 2-2 Al-Faisaly FC
Original prediction
Al Shabab
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.4% | 53.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.6% | 24.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.85 | 19.0% | 22.3% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Al Shabab
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Al Shabab has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60