Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Seeb · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Seeb 1-0 Sohar, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Seeb 2-0 Sohar
Original prediction
Al Seeb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.0% | 58.1% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.4% | 24.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 7.17 | 12.6% | 17.7% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Projected Score
Al Seeb 1–0 Sohar
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Al Seeb
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Al Seeb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al SeebLLWWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SoharLLLLD
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al SeebSohar
50.0Attack13.3
75.0Defence40.0
58.3Form33.3
62.0Power32.2
1.72xG0.66