GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 8/31/2026, 4:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Okhdood · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Saqer 0-0 Al Okhdood

Original prediction

Al Okhdood

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.1322.0%30.9%8.9 pts
Draw3.1928.5%29.2%0.7 pts
Away1.8349.6%39.9%-9.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Al Okhdood

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Al Okhdood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al SaqerDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Al OkhdoodDWLWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al SaqerAl Okhdood
16.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power68.0
1.06xG1.15
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