Al Saqervs
Al Jabalain
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 10/13/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Saqer 0-0 Al Jabalain, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Saqer 1-3 Al Jabalain
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 29.2% | 33.7% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.1% | 33.3% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.6% | 33.1% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
Al Saqer 0–0 Al Jabalain
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
33.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al SaqerWLDDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Al JabalainDWDDW
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Al SaqerAl Jabalain
22.2Attack22.2
83.3Defence77.8
38.9Form50.0
50.1Power53.0
0.74xG0.65