Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Saqer · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Saqer 0-0 Al Anwar, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Saqer 0-1 Al Anwar
Original prediction
Al Saqer
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.5% | 37.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.7% | 30.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.9% | 32.1% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Projected Score
Al Saqer 0–0 Al Anwar
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Al Saqer
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Al Saqer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al SaqerDDDD
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/0.50
BTTS 2/4O2.5 0/4
Al AnwarWDLDL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al SaqerAl Anwar
16.7Attack25.0
83.3Defence83.3
33.3Form41.7
48.3Power51.6
0.92xG0.80