Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Wihdat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Salt 0-0 Al Wihdat
Original prediction
Al Wihdat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.94 | 15.2% | 25.2% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.7% | 28.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.1% | 46.8% | -13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Al Wihdat
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Al Wihdat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al SaltWDDWL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Al WihdatDDDWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al SaltAl Wihdat
100.0Attack57.6
66.7Defence78.8
100.0Form72.7
88.7Power70.2
0.87xG1.35