Al Salmiyahvs
Al Shabab
COMPLETEDKuwait · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 5:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Salmiyah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Salmiyah 0-2 Al Shabab
Original prediction
Al Salmiyah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 61.8% | 49.1% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.8% | 25.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.84 | 15.3% | 25.8% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Al Salmiyah
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Al Salmiyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80