Al Salmiyahvs
Al Jahra
COMPLETEDKuwait · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 2:35:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Salmiyah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Salmiyah 1-0 Al Jahra
Original prediction
Al Salmiyah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 64.8% | 49.5% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.4% | 26.0% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 6.46 | 13.9% | 24.6% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Al Salmiyah
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Al Salmiyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40