Al-Sailiyavs
Qatar SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qatar SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Sailiya 2-2 Qatar SC
Original prediction
Qatar SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.75 | 24.5% | 36.7% | 12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.9% | 24.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 50.6% | 39.2% | -11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Qatar SC
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Qatar SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20