GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 11/9/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Shahaniya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Al-Sailiya are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Al Shahaniya are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Shahaniya hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 68.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.9% in the Second Division, while Al Shahaniya holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Shahaniya

Probability

61.9%

Model confidence

61.9%

Al Shahaniya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-SailiyaWDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Al ShahaniyaWDDWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-SailiyaAl Shahaniya
43.6Attack61.5
38.5Defence61.5
38.5Form76.9
43.1Power68.9
1.00xG2.26
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