Al-Sailiyavs
Al Sadd
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 9/10/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Sadd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Sailiya 3-6 Al Sadd
Original prediction
Al Sadd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.17 | 7.5% | 19.9% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.09 | 12.9% | 20.3% | 7.4 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 79.6% | 59.8% | -19.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Al Sadd
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Al Sadd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-SailiyaLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al SaddWWWWW
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-SailiyaAl Sadd
22.2Attack100.0
22.2Defence55.6
0.0Form100.0
20.2Power87.3
1.33xG2.54