Al-Sailiyavs
Al-Rayyan SC
COMPLETEDQatar · QSL Cup · 9/28/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Sailiya 1-1 Al-Rayyan SC
Original prediction
Al-Rayyan SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.16 | 21.7% | 32.6% | 10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.4% | 26.8% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 54.9% | 40.6% | -14.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al-Rayyan SC
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80