Al-Sailiyavs
Al-Rayyan SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/23/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Sailiya 1-6 Al-Rayyan SC
Original prediction
Al-Rayyan SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.66 | 11.8% | 15.3% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.51 | 16.4% | 18.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 71.8% | 66.4% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Al-Rayyan SC
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
66.4%
Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00