Al-Sailiyavs
Al-Arabi SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 9/3/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Arabi SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Sailiya 0-2 Al-Arabi SC
Original prediction
Al-Arabi SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.34 | 17.0% | 29.1% | 12.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.4% | 24.4% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 62.6% | 46.5% | -16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Al-Arabi SC
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Al-Arabi SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00