Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yarmouk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Al Sahel are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Yarmouk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Yarmouk hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 66.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Division 1, while Yarmouk holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yarmouk
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
14.8%
Yarmouk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00