Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Al Sahel are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Yarmouk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 70.7 against 69.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Division 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20