Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Sahel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Al Sahel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Burgan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Sahel hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.9% in the Division 1, while Al Sahel holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Sahel
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Al Sahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80