Al Sahelvs
Al Fahaheel
COMPLETEDKuwait · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Fahaheel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Sahel 0-4 Al Fahaheel
Original prediction
Al Fahaheel
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.6% | 35.7% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.2% | 27.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.1% | 37.2% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Al Fahaheel
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Al Fahaheel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80