GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/18/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Sadd are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 2.75 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Sharjah FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sharjah FC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the AFC Champions League Elite, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al SaddDWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.75/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Sharjah FCLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al SaddSharjah FC
61.1Attack37.5
61.1Defence75.0
44.4Form58.3
52.8Power58.8
1.15xG0.98
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