Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Sadd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Al Sadd are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 3.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Al Wakrah are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Sadd hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.9% in the Stars League, while Al Sadd holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Sadd
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Al Sadd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 3.67/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00