Al Saddvs
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Sadd 0-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Original prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.98 | 18.5% | 27.4% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.38 | 21.0% | 25.6% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.52 | 60.5% | 47.0% | -13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00