Al Saddvs
Al-Duhail SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/18/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Sadd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Sadd 2-3 Al-Duhail SC
Original prediction
Al Sadd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.6% | 41.7% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.4% | 23.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.1% | 34.9% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Sadd
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Al Sadd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40