Al Saddvs
Al-Arabi SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Sadd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Sadd 2-3 Al-Arabi SC
Original prediction
Al Sadd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 59.0% | 47.8% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.46 | 20.4% | 25.1% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 20.6% | 27.1% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Al Sadd
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Al Sadd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 10 · avg 3.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00