GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 8/26/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Sadd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Al Sadd are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Al Ahli Doha are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Sadd hold a 45.4-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.6% in the Stars League, while Al Sadd holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Sadd

Probability

88.6%

Model confidence

88.6%

Al Sadd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al SaddWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 3.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Al Ahli DohaLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Al SaddAl Ahli Doha
100.0Attack57.1
73.0Defence7.9
77.8Form31.7
79.6Power34.2
4.50xG0.82
View match centre →