Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Suqoor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Al Riyadh are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while NEOM are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and NEOM hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Pro League, while NEOM holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Suqoor
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
14.3%
Al Suqoor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60