Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Nassr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Riyadh 0-4 Al-Nassr
Original prediction
Al-Nassr
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Al-Nassr
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Al-Nassr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al RiyadhLDWDW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-NassrWLLWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power97.0
1.36xG1.83