Al Riyadhvs
Al Kholood
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kholood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Riyadh 2-0 Al Kholood
Original prediction
Al Kholood
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.48 | 26.5% | 20.3% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.3% | 21.9% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 45.2% | 57.8% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Al Kholood
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Al Kholood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40