Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Riffa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al Riffa are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWDW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Muharraq are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.4 against 59.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Premier League, while Al Riffa holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Riffa
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Al Riffa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 2.25/1.00
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00