Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Riffa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Riffa 0-0 Khalidiya
Original prediction
Al Riffa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.3% | 40.9% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.9% | 26.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.8% | 32.2% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Al Riffa
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Al Riffa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al RiffaWWWWW
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KhalidiyaWWWLW
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al RiffaKhalidiya
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form100.0
93.8Power84.5
1.71xG1.26