Al Riffavs
East Riffa
COMPLETEDBahrain · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Riffa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Riffa 4-0 East Riffa
Original prediction
Al Riffa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.6% | 52.9% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 6.46 | 14.1% | 22.1% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Al Riffa
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Al Riffa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40