GGOALVIO

Qatar · QSL Cup · 9/20/2026, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Rayyan SC 2-2 Qatar SC

Original prediction

Al-Rayyan SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8449.4%50.4%1.0 pts
Draw3.7724.1%24.7%0.6 pts
Away3.4326.5%24.8%-1.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Al-Rayyan SC

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Rayyan SCWWDDW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Qatar SCDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Rayyan SCQatar SC
46.7Attack38.1
66.7Defence47.6
60.0Form52.4
59.9Power49.0
1.73xG0.97
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