Al-Rayyan SCvs
Al Faisaly
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 9/16/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Rayyan SC 4-3 Al Faisaly
Original prediction
Al-Rayyan SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.3% | 46.6% | -22.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.73 | 19.1% | 25.5% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 7.79 | 11.6% | 28.0% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al-Rayyan SC
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80